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DeepSeek-V4 released by ____? End of February, 2026: real money 56%, play money 58% End of April, 2026: real money 56%, play money 54% End of June, 2026: real money 56%, play money 56% Volume: real money 99.97, play money 12243.0725 Bettors: real money 0, play money 2 Categories: Entertainment, Annual Renewal Tests 2026 Related markets Euro area’s inflation rate in 2026 (ID: 235908) Volume: real 99.97, play 10099.9987 Bettors: real 0, play 1 Leading (real money): 2.0% to 2.2% 40% Leading (play money): 2.0% to 2.2% 38% test target price (ID: 233117) Volume: real 79.976, play 200 Bettors: real 0, play 1 Leading (real money): o2 — Leading (play money): o2 82% test market july 10 (ID: 224662) Volume: real 538.6055814, play 1688.53821179 Bettors: real 40, play 61 Leading (real money): two 55% Leading (play money): two 71% Open AMM Orders After Wager 4 (ID: 231795) Volume: real 79.968, play 762.76176001 Bettors: real 0, play 21 Leading (real money): No — Leading (play money): Yes 64% test image (ID: 77148) Volume: real 576.5, play 556.47197476 Bettors: real 0, play 22 Leading (real money): o1 60% Leading (play money): o1 58%

DeepSeek-V4 released by ____?

Market Rules

This event predicts the timing of the public launch of DeepSeek V4, defined as the first official public availability or announcement that DeepSeek V4 is released for general use. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is an official announcement by DeepSeek through its official website, blog, documentation, or verified social media channels stating that DeepSeek V4 has been launched or released.

Models that are not named V4 but are explicitly announced by DeepSeek AI as direct successors (rather than mere additions or complements) to DeepSeek-V3 may be considered for market resolution.

If the official DeepSeek announcement is delayed, incomplete, or ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will consist of corroboration from major, reputable technology news organizations reporting the launch based on official DeepSeek statements. Resolution will prioritize the substantive occurrence of a public launch over minor technicalities in wording or rollout scope, and Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation if a fair determination becomes impossible.

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