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Will Ronaldo Caiado be confirmed as a presidential pre-candidate in Brazil by May 1, 2026? Yes: real money 34%, play money 58% No: real money 66%, play money 42% Volume: real money 339.48545019, play money 1517.26435504 Bettors: real money 20, play money 25 Categories: Entertainment, Order Book Tests Related markets Will Romeu Zema be confirmed as a presidential pre-candidate in Brazil by May 1, 2026? (ID: 223549) Volume: real 3681.88243197, play 1448.74197983 Bettors: real 27, play 31 Leading (real money): No 51% Leading (play money): Yes 58% Will Lula be confirmed as a presidential pre-candidate in Brazil by May 1, 2026? (ID: 223552) Volume: real 792.95656409, play 3290.74882921 Bettors: real 28, play 28 Leading (real money): Yes 54% Leading (play money): Yes 98% test market july 10 (ID: 224662) Volume: real 538.6055814, play 1688.53821179 Bettors: real 40, play 61 Leading (real money): two 55% Leading (play money): two 71%

Will Ronaldo Caiado be confirmed as a presidential pre-candidate in Brazil by May 1, 2026?

Market Rules

This market will resolve as "Yes" if, by 11:59 PM (UTC-3) on May 1, 2026, Ronaldo Caiado is formally confirmed by any party as a pre-candidate for the Brazilian presidency in the 2026 elections.

A "pre-candidate" is defined as someone who:

  1. has publicly declared their intention to run for president, regardless of formal registration with the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); and
  2. got his pre-candidature endorsed by a political party.

The announcement must come from a registered political party or an authorized representative. Media speculation or unofficial statements will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

Endorsements coming from other candidates or political activities that do not explicitly confirm Ronaldo Caiado's condition as an official pre-candidate will not qualify. If no official confirmation is made by the deadline, this market will resolve to "No." In case of ambiguity or conflicting information, official sources or widely recognized media outlets will take precedence.

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