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Will Eduardo Bolsonaro be confirmed as a presidential pre-candidate in Brazil by May 1, 2026? Yes: real money 40%, play money 85% No: real money 60%, play money 15% Volume: real money 773.31743865, play money 1629.03161873 Bettors: real money 23, play money 27 Categories: Entertainment, Order Book Tests Related markets test market july 10 (ID: 224662) Volume: real 538.6055814, play 1688.53821179 Bettors: real 40, play 61 Leading (real money): two 55% Leading (play money): two 71% Will Romeu Zema be confirmed as a presidential pre-candidate in Brazil by May 1, 2026? (ID: 223549) Volume: real 3681.88243197, play 1448.74197983 Bettors: real 27, play 31 Leading (real money): No 51% Leading (play money): Yes 58% Will Lula be confirmed as a presidential pre-candidate in Brazil by May 1, 2026? (ID: 223552) Volume: real 792.95656409, play 3290.74882921 Bettors: real 28, play 28 Leading (real money): Yes 54% Leading (play money): Yes 98%

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro be confirmed as a presidential pre-candidate in Brazil by May 1, 2026?

Market Rules

This market will resolve as "Yes" if, by 11:59 PM (UTC-3) on May 1, 2026, Eduardo Bolsonaro is formally confirmed by any party as a pre-candidate for the Brazilian presidency in the 2026 elections.

A "pre-candidate" is defined as someone who:

  1. has publicly declared their intention to run for president, regardless of formal registration with the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); and
  2. got his pre-candidature endorsed by a political party.

The announcement must come from a registered political party or an authorized representative. Media speculation or unofficial statements will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

Endorsements coming from other candidates or political activities that do not explicitly confirm Eduardo Bolsonaro's condition as an official pre-candidate will not qualify. If no official confirmation is made by the deadline, this market will resolve to "No." In case of ambiguity or conflicting information, official sources or widely recognized media outlets will take precedence.

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